Covid-19: Concern at 'unprecedented' infection level in England

Getty Images Ambulances at the Royal London HospitalGetty Images
London Ambulance Service received as many emergency calls on 26 December as it did at the height of the first wave of Covid-19

England's "very high" Covid infection level is a "growing concern" as the NHS struggles to cope with rising patient numbers, a health official has said.

On Monday, a record 41,385 Covid cases and 357 deaths were reported in the UK.

NHS England said the number of people being treated for the virus in hospital is now 20,426, which is higher than the previous peak of about 19,000 in April.

Health officials in Wales and Scotland have also said they are at risk of becoming overwhelmed.

Monday's figure for new cases is the highest daily number reported by the UK government, and the first time the daily total has surpassed 40,000.

It is thought the infection rate was much higher during the first peak in April, but testing capacity was too limited to detect the true number.

Some data over the Christmas period is incomplete, as a result of certain services being paused.

BBC health editor Hugh Pym said Monday's figure included some infections where reporting was delayed, but that officials did not deny there had been a significant increase in infections.

Dr Yvonne Doyle, medical director at Public Health England, said: "This very high level of infection is of growing concern at a time when our hospitals are at their most vulnerable, with new admissions rising in many regions."

"Despite unprecedented levels of infection, there is hope on the horizon," she added.

Dr Doyle urged members of the public to "continue to play our part in stopping the spread of the virus" as the Pfizer/BioNTech coronavirus vaccine is rolled out.

Hospitals in Wales, Scotland and the south of England have reported rising pressure on their services as the number of Covid patients increases.

Queen Elizabeth Hospital in Woolwich, south-east London, said on Monday that an "internal incident" over its "high number of Covid-positive patients" had been ongoing since Sunday.

"All our patients have received the treatment they need, including intensive care treatment for Covid-19 and oxygen therapy as required.

"We are continuing to monitor the situation to ensure that this remains the case," a spokesperson for Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Trust said.

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Analysis box by Hugh Pym, health editor

Two stats stand out today and underline the extent of the pressure on the NHS.

One is the more than 20,000 Covid patients in English hospitals, more than the peak in the first wave in April.

In many ways it is even tougher for hospitals now, as they are trying to clear the backlog on non-urgent operations and procedures cancelled in the first wave - as well as cope with the surge in Covid numbers.

It is worth pointing out though that one reason for the high level of patients is that some are there thanks to drugs and therapies discovered in the past year who might not have survived in the first wave.

The other key statistic is the 41,385 new daily reported cases - by far the highest number since the testing system was fully established in the summer.

Some sadly will become seriously ill after a week or so which points to even greater strain on hospitals in the new year.

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The president of the Royal College of Emergency Medicine said she saw "wall to wall Covid" when she worked at one London hospital on Christmas Day.

Dr Katherine Henderson told the BBC there was a "great deal of difficulty" getting patients into wards.

She added: "The chances are that we will cope, but we cope at a cost - the cost is not doing what we had hoped, which is being able to keep non-Covid activities going."

Danny Mortimer, chief executive of the NHS Confederation, told BBC News disruption to non-urgent care in both hospitals and other health services was "inevitable" as infections rise.

About half of the health boards in Wales have already cancelled non-urgent care, according to the director of the Welsh NHS Confederation.

Darren Hughes told BBC Radio 4's PM programme the situation in Welsh hospitals was "incredibly serious, and worsening", with some intensive care units already at capacity.

Public Health Wales' Dr Giri Shankar said large numbers of patients, and staff sickness, have created an "incredibly challenging" situation.

Infection rates in England are currently highest in areas of Essex, London and other parts of the South East.

Parts of Essex have recorded the highest weekly coronavirus case rates since the pandemic began. In the week leading up to 21 December, Brentwood, Epping Forest and Thurrock all had rates of more than 1,350 cases per 100,000 people.

Tracey Fletcher, the chief executive of Homerton hospital in east London, said her staff were "extremely busy" and urged people to comply with the tier four restrictions in force.

As of 24 December, London and the south east had the greatest proportion of new variant cases
As of 24 December, London, the South East, and the East of England had the greatest proportion of new variant cases
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Patricia Marquis, regional director of the Royal College of Nursing in south-east England, said the number of beds and staff available at hospitals in her area was "really close to the edge".

"We are getting to the point where it does feel like there is a possibility that hospitals will become overrun," she told Radio 4's PM programme.

Ms Marquis said the strain on staffing meant nurses were looking after "far more patients" than usual and "it does feel unsafe at times for them".

The South Central Ambulance Service (SCAS) said it has warned the military and fire service that paramedics may soon need their support.

SCAS, which serves Berkshire, Oxfordshire, Buckinghamshire and Hampshire, said it had seen a threefold increase in 111 calls over the Christmas period, along with a 60-70% increase in staff absences as a result of showing Covid symptoms or having to self-isolate.

This chart, using data up to 23 December, shows how hospital admissions had been rising in London
This chart, using data up to 23 December, shows how hospital admissions had been rising in London
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Cabinet Office minister Michael Gove said the government's tiered system for coronavirus rules in England was the "right strategy" to tackle coronavirus, but accepted the NHS was under pressure and there were "difficult months ahead".

Some 24 million people in the south-east and east of England - about 43% of the population - are now living under the strictest tier four rules and a review on 30 December could see more areas placed under the restrictions.

Mainland Scotland entered level four restrictions from Saturday for three weeks, and similar rules are in place in Wales.

Northern Ireland has also entered a new six-week lockdown.

The BBC has been told the London Ambulance Service (LAS) received 7,918 emergency calls on 26 December - as many as at the height of the first wave of Covid-19.

An LAS memo said the rising demand was down to the "rapid spread of the new variant of the Covid-19 virus".

Figures seen by the BBC show at one London hospital on Sunday morning, ambulance crews were typically waiting nearly six hours to hand over patients to staff.

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