Fewer ops being done as NHS waiting list hits seven million

Getty Images surgery pictureGetty Images

The waiting list for hospital treatment has hit a record high of seven million in England, latest figures show.

But a BBC analysis shows the rise is being driven by the inability of hospitals to get back to full strength rather than lots more demand.

Hospitals are carrying out 12% fewer operations and treatments than they were before the pandemic.

Surgeons said it was really frustrating as operating theatres were not being used due to a lack of beds and staff.

They say it is not unusual to find surgery cancelled at the last minute as staff are unavailable or intensive care and ward beds are full with other patients.

"It's tough on patients and tough on staff who want to get on and treat patients," said Tim Mitchell, vice-president of the Royal College of Surgeons of England.

"Without treatment, the health of patients can deteriorate.

"Not only do we need to get back to where we were before the pandemic, we need to do more if we are going to tackle the backlog."

Chart showing number of treatments

NHS England data shows that in the past year an average of nearly 257,500 inpatient treatments, including hip and knee replacements, have been performed each month.

That is 12% lower than the year before the pandemic.

Outpatient clinics, which include minor procedures, tests and assessments, are down by 4% to just over one million a month on average.

The struggle to return services to full strength is why the backlog is growing, because the number of new referrals for treatment has not actually gone up above its average before the start of the pandemic.

Chart showing new referrals for treatment

This has surprised many in the health service, because it was always expected there would be a lot of extra demand at this point given how many people did not come forward when Covid first hit.

Mr Mitchell said there was likely to be a lot of hidden demand out there with people either still staying away or struggling to make it on to the waiting list because of pressure on GP services.

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'Wait for op affecting my physical and mental health'

Marcus

Marcus Mansukhani has been waiting for a hernia operation since late 2018.

Surgery initially had to be put off because he had high blood pressure and then the pandemic hit, delaying his treatment even further.

He then needed to have his gall bladder removed and that took place two months ago.

In the meantime, his hernia has grown to 4.7in (12cm) in size. It is so big, he is struggling to walk.

Mr Mansukhani, 47, from Suffolk, said: "It is very frustrating.

"I'm not walking as much as I would like because it is painful. And it is noticeable when I go out in public, so I've been keeping myself to myself.

"Something like this really affects both your physical and mental health."

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Mr Mitchell said there was a range of factors which meant hospitals continued to have to run routine services at below capacity.

This included continued disruption by Covid, which was causing both increased illness among staff and more beds being taken up by sick patients, and delays freeing up beds, because some patients cannot be discharged as they cannot access necessary care in the community.

The NHS in England has been set a target of carrying out 30% more treatments by 2024.

To help, a network of community diagnostic centres and surgical hubs away from hospitals are being established.

But Mr Mitchell warned there was still a lack of staff in places to make the most of this investment - he said there were particular problems with theatre nurses and anaesthetists.

And he said this was a UK-wide issue, pointing out the situation in Wales and Northern Ireland was particularly bad.

'Progress is being made'

Ministers have warned it may be spring 2024 before the backlog starts to fall in England.

Saffron Cordery, of NHS Providers, which represents hospitals, accepted there was "still a long way to go".

But she added: "Trusts are working incredibly hard to recover ground lost in tackling care backlogs."

Siva Anandaciva, of the King's Fund think tank, said the problems were "fundamentally" linked to a lack of resources.

"If you look at other countries, the NHS has fewer doctors, nurses and hospital beds.

"Even the most efficient system in the world can only get through so much work if it hasn't got the fundamental resources it needs."

But an NHS England spokeswoman said the health service was "making significant progress", having virtually eliminated two-year waits and making inroads on the number of people waiting 18 months.

She added: "There is now considerable investment in surgical hubs and diagnostic centres that will help to protect elective treatments from wider pressures, especially in future years, and increasing use of technology like robotic surgery and dedicated day case units, which help increase the amount of elective procedures that can be carried out."

Data visualisation by Will Dahlgreen

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